If I was a GM for an NFL Team…

April 28, 2007

Needless to say, I would enjoy being a GM for my long-time team, Chicago Bears.  The last four years, I have been watching how the Bears have grown versus the other teams. It has been amusing but led me to deep thoughts about how I would run the development of the legendnary franchise through the draft.

First round draft picks are overrated and overpriced.  With the rising ticket prices in the NFL, I would rather be able to sell out every home game than shell out millions of dollars to a potentional first round bust as we have seen happen so many times to each team in the NFL.

So with that in mind, there are 32 teams in the NFL.  By breaking down the picks into three categories, I will try to explain my logic in the draft selection.

  •  16 of these teams usually perform badly enough to wind up with the top picks. 
  • 8 of them had medicore season and often struggle to land the best pick int he draft to help bolster their growing thirst for the championship.
  • 8 of the 32 teams have peformed well enough to wind up with the last 8 picks of the draft meaning they are more suspectible to free agency.

So with this fairly simple and broad breakdown, I will now explain the breakdown of the draft picks.

  • First 16 picks are overrated and often overpriced, usually top offensive college “weapons” with zero NFL experience commanding top dollar who ultimately end up medicore players.
  • Next 8 picks are mid-round picks going to teams often in need of adding “the missing ingredient” to building their championship team.
  • The final 8 picks.  Needless to say, they are the bottom of the 1st round barrel.  Often these teams are loaded with talents from the previous season’s run for the Superbowl.  Based on the contracts these teams have signed with their players, there is almost always a few players who becomes free agents and move on.  This provides room for these teams to “shoot fishes in a barrel” with quality choices but not always a sound opportunity due to the depth presence on their team.

So for the Bears, if we landed in the top 16, I would immediately trade down to the last 8 of the first round picks, and a mid to high 3rd round pick. 

If we landed in the next group of 8 picks, I would hold my posistion to find a good quality pick or trade down to a high 2nd and a high to low third round pick. 

If we landed in the final group of the last 8 picks, immediately trade down to the high 2nd round and a low 3rd or high 4th round pick. 

Not only am I doing the fans a favor by keeping the price of tickets low, I am doing the team a favor by providing a decent cap room for upgrade opportunities down the road.  Often this will not happen till the season begins so foresight is better than hindsight.

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